Archive for the 'Ducks' Category
Week 3 picks
Man, I’m getting so good at this theoretical picking maybe I should move to Vegas and actually place bets! I’m up 2.6 units this week, for a grand total of 7.3 units. So if I were actually betting, and each unit represented 1 percent of my bankroll, I’d be up 7.3 percent! Better than the stock market, at least.
| Kansas +3.5, 2u |
Kansas @ South Florida. I just don’t buy the South Florida hype; I mean the Ducks destroyed them in last year’s bowl game, they played their first game against a creampuff and they went down to the wire with Central Florida last week. Sure, that was a rivalry game, but I just don’t think they’re going to beat Kansas. |
| Oregon -8, 2u |
Oregon @ Purdue. Classic case of an overmatched Big 10 team vs. a good Pac 10 team. Duck’s defense is better than people give it credit for and Purdue has never seen a spread offense like this one. |
| Georgia -7, 2u |
Georgia @ South Carolina. Georgia is good, Spurrier’s team has been mediocre for the past few years. I pick Georgia here every time. |
| Oregon State -12.5 |
Hawaii @ OSU. Hawaii is terrible on the road and eventually OSU will win a game. Really. |
| Penn State -27.5 |
Penn State @ Syracuse. Syracuse is the worst team in the Big East and might be in contention for worst team in a BCS conference. Penn State, in my opinion, is better than OSU, Michigan and Wisconsin. Penn State wins big here. |
| Michigan -2 |
Michigan @ Notre Dame. I bet against Notre Dame because they suck, just like they did last year. The end. |
| USC -11, 2u |
Ohio State @ USC. Another case of Pac 10 dominance vs. Big 10. This game will not be close. |
| FAU +17 |
Florida Atlantic @ Michigan State. FAU isn’t really that bad; the way Texas crushed them was due in a large part to their coach’s stupid comments inciting Texas before the game. Michigan State isn’t that good. Did I mention they’re Big 10? |
| Western Kentucky +28 | Western Kentucky @ Alabama. I don’t see any reason why Alabama should be motivated by this game. Of course they’ll win, but Western Kentucky is not as bad as this spread indicates. |
| East Carolina -13 |
East Carolina @ Tulane. East Carolina has every motivation to crush the remaining teams on its schedule; its into its Conference USA schedule now with the exception of a game against Virginia in a few weeks. They’ve got 2 quality wins but they’ll have to keep on racking up the scores to stay in the BCS hunt. |
[UPDATED] Week 11 picks
Wow, it’s already week 11? I am seriously screwed for final exams, thanks to all this time spent with football. Anyway, I was on fire for last weekend’s picks. I went 7 for 9 in picks but the bets I lost were tiny. Also, I lucked out and got Michigan at -3 1/2 instead of -4 so I won the bet when they came back against MSU and won by 4. Result: Up 12.46 units for the week. Oh: One note here. GridironPolitics favorite Troy State does play this week, but it’s against provisional 1A team Western Kentucky, so the sportsbooks don’t have any lines. If I find a line later this week, I’ll bet it and put it up here.
On to this week: [Changes of bets and lines are striked, new bets/lines are in bold.]
| Wake Forest +9, 1u |
Wake Forest @ Clemson. Wake is really not that bad of a team, and Clemson is a perennial underachiever. I bet the Tigers win this game, but I’m happy to take the underdog by anything over a touchdown here. |
| Miami -3 1/2, 1u |
Virginia @ Miami. Wow, I never thought I’d be betting on the Hurricanes. Virginia has been lucky to squeak by with a lot of close games, while Miami’s QB delivered the most awful performance ever against North Carolina State: 14 pass attempts, one completion, three interceptions. That’s right. Three times the interceptions as completions. But I don’t think he can possibly play another game that bad, and therefore, his performance last week is dragging down a line that should otherwise be 7 or so. |
| Air Force -2 1/2, 3u |
Air Force @ Notre Dame. Alright, I know, Navy beat Air Force then barely sneaks by the Irish in triple overtime a few weeks later. That’s fine, but the Air Force team of this week could whip Navy of Week 10. And the Irish are really, really good at losing. |
| Arizona State |
Arizona State @ UCLA. OK, so the Ducks beat up on the Sun Devils, but they’re still a great team. I was worried the whole game about them coming back and beating us. UCLA, while perfectly capable of beating any team in the country, is horribly coached and very inconsistent. I bet against them in this spot every time. Update: Didn’t bet this in time to get it at 6 1/2, so I had to settle for 7. |
| Auburn |
Auburn @ Georgia. Auburn is a monster team on the road. Georgia just sneaked by Troy (44 - 34). Yes, I’m a huge fanboy of Troy, but still, failing to beat the spread against a mid-major is a problem for a 7-2 SEC team. Auburn will thrash the Bulldogs here. Line got better here. |
| Washington State -10 1/2, 2u |
Stanford @ Washington State. Playing at Martin Stadium in Eastern Washington is really, really tough. It’s very cold this time of year, the crowd is boisterous and the visiting team gets unlucky very often. Arizona State barely got by against Wazzu a few weeks ago in a similar spot; Stanford will lose by two touchdowns here. |
| Texas A&M @ Missouri. TAMU has no way of stopping Missouri in this game. They got killed by Oklahoma and they’ll have similar problems vs. Missouri’s potent offense. Also, I bet against A&M until coach Fran gets fired or Jamey tells me not to. Update: Jamey told me not to. See comments below for more info, but I’m playing A&M to beat the spread (and lose.) | |
| Michigan |
Michigan @ Wisconsin. On paper, this is probably a bad bet. Michigan barely came back against MSU, and Wisconsin kept in close against OSU before tanking late in the third quarter. But Michigan wants the win here more than Wisconsin - after all, the Wolverines are the only team not named OSU that still has a chance at the Big 10 Championship. |
-5, 2u |
Well, I’ve had good luck the last three weeks. After tanking in week 6, I’ve posted three solid weeks. I went 3 and 3 in Week 7, 4 and 3 in Week 8 and 4 and 3 this last weekend.That’s 11 and 9 for a three week record, which I’m very happy with*.
*So happy, in fact, that I end a sentence with a preposition.
Anyway, here are this week’s picks.
| Navy ML +150, 2u |
Navy @ Notre Dame. Navy hasn’t won a game against the Irish in a bazillion years. Navy’s got a solid offense, even if their defense is terrible. I’m betting Navy puts up six touchdowns, and despite their awful defense, the Irish won’t be able to locate the end zone often enough to keep it close. |
| Oregon -7, 2u |
Arizona State @ Oregon. Autzen is a horrible place for opposing teams. I went to the game vs. USC, and MAN was it loud. The crowd is really into it this year, and our defense just feeds off all that noise. Arizona State is a pretty good team this year, but their QB, Carpenter, hurt his thumb in the fourth quarter vs. Cal and apparently he showed up to practice wearing a thumb brace. I figure that might affect his throwing, and with the performance of our D-backs, that means we get a few picks out of the deal. Also, we have this QB named Dixon and I think he’s pretty swell. For the record, I really, really don’t like the spread of a touchdown here, but I think Oregon pulls it off more than 50 percent of the time. |
| Michigan -4, 1u ML -170, 3u |
Michigan @ Michigan State. Michigan has been on fire since their losses vs. spread offenses. I’m a little worried because Hart has been out for a few games with injuries, after carrying the ball 200 times this season. But the Wolverines have the momentum and the motivation: If they win out, the Nov. 17 matchup vs. Ohio State will determine who wins the Big 10, and give Michigan a chance to foil OSU’s chances at the national championship. I’m betting on the moneyline here because I’m not convinced Michigan will win by more than a field goal … I just think they’re going to win. |
| Oklahoma -21, 2u |
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma. As Jamey notes below in the comments, Stoops has no qualms about running up the score, even if margins of victory are not considered by the BCS computers. (I guarantee that the human voters pay attention to the margins.) A&M is awful this year and Oklahoma has everything to prove - after all, the Ducks are still ahead of them in the BCS ;-). |
| Wisconsin +15 1/2, 1u |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State. OK, so PSU couldn’t take out the Buckeyes last week. And I doubt the Badgers will, either. But despite OSU’s stingy defense, I just don’t see Wisconsin losing by more than two touchdowns here. |
| Missouri - 3 1/2, 2u |
Missouri @ Colorado. The spread is low here because Colorado has snuck up on a few good teams. They are not a great team yet, they just prey on the unprepared. Missouri is paying attention to this one, and they are not Texas Tech (remember, Missouri’s win over Tech probably caused the downward spiral that made the Red Raiders lose to Colorado the next weekend.) Missouri wins here by 10 at least. |
| Troy +16 1/2, 3u ML 700, 1u |
Troy @ Georgia. Does my betting streak with the Trojans come to an end here? Georgia is coming off a huge win over Florida and they’ve got another big game next weekend vs. Auburn. This weekend’s game is commonly referred to as a trap game - a game where the underdog is not as bad as many think, and the favorite is looking ahead to the next game instead of treating their competition seriously. I think Troy keeps it close here. I also think there’s an outside chance they upset the Bulldogs (Oklahoma State, anyone?) so I’ll take the moneyline as well as the spread. |
Week 9 picks
| Oregon -2 1/2, 2u |
USC @ Oregon. This is the first time in the regular season USC has been a dog since their 2004 thrashing of Auburn. Will history repeat itself? This Duck fan hopes not. Factors favoring Oregon here: Our offense is awesome. Homefield advantage at Autzen. Dixon being consistent and not cracking under pressure. Jonathan Stewart. USC going down to the wire against bad opponents. Chip Kelley. Factors favoring USC here: Oregon’s injuries finally catching up to them. Number 2 defense (though who has USC played to get those defensive numbers?) USC’s ability to come through with big games (see their 38-0 win over the Irish.) All in all, I take the Ducks, but I’m glad I got on this line before it moved to -3. |
| South Florida -4, 2u |
South Florida @ Connecticut. UConn is not a great football team, but they’ve had a great season so far, thanks to patsies on the schedule and two lucky officiating calls that make the Big East wish for some of those quality replay officials from the Oregon/Oklahoma game of 2006. USF is quite good, and despite their loss against Rutgers, this is a quality ball squad who should cover, unless they’ve lost their motivation with last week’s defeat. |
| Texas Tech -13, 1u |
Colorado @ Texas Tech. There’s a lot of reasons to stay away from this game. Colorado’s pretty decent, Tech got hammered against Missouri last week, etc. But Tech is still a bit underrated, so I think the spread is off enough here to justify putting money on them. |
| VT -3, 2u |
Boston College @ Virginia Tech. Man I hate the ACC. I’m probably just betting this game because I want BC to lose so my Ducks advance. Neither team is really that good. Washington could probably beat them and I’m sure teams like Texas Tech, Illinois and Rutgers could walk all over them. Regardless, I pick the home team here and cross my fingers. |
| Wake Forest -5 1/2, 2u |
UNC @ Wake Forest. Wake is the defending ACC champ, and not a bad football team at all. UNC is, at best, inconsistent. They’ve been doing a good job of beating the spread lately, but winning games is something else, and I just can’t see this game settling for less than a touchdown. |
| Kansas -2 1/2, 2u |
Kansas @ Texas A&M. According to Jamey, a friend of mine who’s a diehard Aggie fan, I should bet against A&M every game of this season. Makes sense. They’re a bad football team this year, they make other teams look great when they play against them (for instance, Miami) and they’re overrated after a win against a tilted Nebraska squad. The Jayhawks aren’t bad, either. Advantage: Kansas. |
| Troy -4, 2u |
Troy @ Arkansas State. I know, I know, I bet Troy every week, no matter what. I’m a little worried this week, though. Arkansas State has won four out of the last five games, and this is one of the toughest conference games the Trojans face this year. Regardless, Troy has done me proud, so I bet them until I get burned. |
Week 8 picks + last week …
So after an abysmal week 6 (I went 5 for 15 and lost 11 units out of 29 bet) I failed to write a week 7 post here. I thought some of you might be curious what my picks were, though, if you’ll trust this ex-post-facto report:
- Parlayed Michigan/Missouri, 2 units: Won 5.3u.
- Parlayed South Car/BC, 2 units: Lost 2.2u.
- Cincinatti -10, 2u, Lost 2u.
- Oregon -18 1/2, 2u, Won 1.81u.
- Texas Tech -10, 2u, won 1.81u.
- Illinois - 4 1/2, Lost 2u.
Result: Up 2.92 units.
| USF -2 1/2, 2u. |
USF @ Rutgers. I really, really want Rutgers to beat USF so the Ducks have a better chance of going to the national championship. But if you’re wagering money instead of brokering in wishful thinking, I think this is a pretty good bet. |
| South Carolina -13, 2u. |
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina. Spurrier has beaten the spread ALMOST every week this season. I’ll forgive him against surging North Carolina, but I’ll bet his team continues to outperform expectations. Also, Vandy has been a disappointment this year. |
| Wake Forest -3, 1u. |
Wake Forest @ Navy. Wake just a field goal ahead of Navy? Are you kidding me? I like Wake, and I think they play better than they look on paper. I’m a little incredulous about this spread, though, so if you wanted to avoid it it might not be a bad idea. |
| Auburn +11, 2u. |
Auburn @ LSU. Auburn is a tremendous road team, and LSU is a worn out team after tough, tough games vs. Florida and Kentucky. I wouldn’t be surprised if Auburn pulls an upset here, but save your money and just bet the spread. |
| Cincinnati - 9 1/2, 2u. |
Cinci @ Pittsburg. Pitt is a bad team. Cinci is not. Cinci covers the spread (except for last week.) Pittsburg loses, by a lot. I’d bet this game for anything under three touchdowns. |
| Oregon -11, 2u. |
Oregon @ Washington. I’m a little worried about this game, as Oregon had two awful injuries last week vs. Wazzu. We’re going pretty deep into the depth chart now, but hopefully some receivers/backs step up to the task. Washington is a decent team this year but our defense is improving. Also, Washington seems to melt in the second half, whereas Oregon often comes alive then. |
| Troy -18, 2u. |
North Texas @ Troy. Troy has been doing a great job on the spread, although it was a push last week. North Texas sucks. If I bet only Troy ATS this entire year, I think I’d make a lot of money. |
All apologies
The Casper Star Tribune has a heartbreaking story about what happens when you throw rocks off cliffsides. Long story short: Guy throws rock, climber dies, then rock-thrower does the unthinkable and apologizes for his actions. Hmmm. Not something you see every day. Certainly isn’t true in the wretched world of politics (see Larry Craig’s it’s-the-media’s-fault fingerpointing to account for all the hookups he’s had in mens rooms.) But it’s equally unlikely to happen in the world of football. Case in point: Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy’s rant against columnist Jennifer Carlson for suggesting OSU’s former starting quarterback was an emotional trainwreck. The best Gundy could do? Apologize for “raising his voice.” The best Carlson could do? Play the victim and avoid admitting that perhaps her column crossed the line. Both parties were out of line, and I guess that’s OK, it’s out of the news cycle now.
I’m not suggesting people in sports are incapable of being honest. LSU coach Les Miles, for example, had this to say about AP voters who put his team at the number one spot this week: “Anybody that voted us No. 1 obviously didn’t get up and watch us play Saturday,” Miles said. “We have to come to work and prepare. We have a lot to improve on and a lot to accomplish.” LSU beat Tulane 34-9, but it was 10-9 at the half. Sportswriters didn’t seem to care that LSU was incapable of beating the spread and rewarded them for not sucking it up like USC did in their 27-24 win against lowly Washington.
There’s at least two sportswriters this week who don’t need to apologize: Kirk Herbstreit and Stewart Mandel. The two saw past Oregon’s heartbreaking loss to Cal and moved the Ducks up to the number 5 and 6 spots, respectively. Does Oregon deserve this treatment? Probably not. But there aren’t too many teams below them that Oregon couldn’t take on a neutral field. Sure, they’d probably lose to LSU, and you might have to flip a coin to see who would win if they rematched Cal, or played USC. Maybe USF might give the Ducks some problems, as South Florida shut down West Virginia’s spread offense without a lot of difficulty. Before this week, I thought Oklahoma might give Oregon some problems if the Ducks continued to be undefeated and they met Oklahoma in a big bowl game. But now, after Colorado’s upset, I’m not so sure. In any case, if Oregon turns out to be overrated, I’ll write a nice apology.
No commentsWeek 5 update
So after waiting the better part of the week for the line to move on a few of these games, I’ve decided to suspend three of my picks for the week and put a caveat on a few others. I tried to be pretty clear in each case that I wouldn’t bet until the line shifted. Well, it hasn’t, so here are my changes:
Miss.St/South Carolina : I wanted Mississippi State to have a more generous spread than the two touchdowns the bettors were originally ceding to the Gamecocks. Instead, the line’s gone down to 13 1/2. I can’t recommend this game, and I won’t be betting it. It’s probably 50/50, but even money is a loser in sports betting.
Arizona St/Stanford : Again, the line has barely moved here all week. Some books have the Sun Devils by 14 1/2, the others have stayed at 14. Again, I think the Cardinal might lose by less than two TDs but it’s not a sure thing. I would have bet this had it gotten to 17, but at the current spread I’ll be staying away this weekend.
Notre Dame/Purdue : The line simply hasn’t shifted here the way I thought it would. The spread is hovering between 22 and 22 1/2 in favor of Purdue. The Irish clearly lose this game, but I don’t think it’s a sure thing that they go down beyond the 3 touchdown mark. I’d hold off on betting this one, unless it’s in favor of the Irish. Then again, the money might not be safe on Notre Dame either … they’ve certainly proved themselves capable of losing games by larger margins.
Those are the only three bets that completely go against my earlier recommendations. In a few others games, however, I would recommend slight modifications if you haven’t bet yet already:
Penn St/Illinois: I am thinking more and more that Zook’s team wins straight out over Penn State here. The spread of 3 is kind of silly in this case. I was waiting for it to go to 4+ but it looks like Penn State will only be favored by a field goal. So why put down $110 to win $100 when you can just bet $100 on Illinois winning it outright for a shot at $140? Updated bet: Moneyline at +140 on Illinois. 2u.
Auburn/Florida: Auburn was the only team to beat Florida last year. They probably won’t do it again this year, but if Auburn keeps within the 18-point spread, expect this to be a low-scoring, defensive game. I’d recommend parlaying the +18 spread with the under, which is currently hovering around 54 1/2. Updated bet: Parlay Auburn +18/Under 54 1/2. Odds of 2.65/1, 2u.
California/Oregon: As I stated before, I don’t bet against the Ducks. But what I didn’t mention is that Oregon rarely loses close games. They’ve only had two sub 9 point losses since November of 2004. The reason I point this out? Picking Cal at +6 (which is currently the spread) is a bad deal. Just bet the moneyline for them to win out, if you feel like betting against Oregon. If you don’t want to go against Oregon, do what I suggested earlier and parlay the spread with the over. Updated bet: Moneyline at +205 on Cal. 1u.
No commentsWeek 5 Picks
Well, I didn’t do bad for my first time around on picks. I won 7 and lost 6, although two of those wins (Oregon and Troy) would have been pushes if I had to win by the spread I set myself instead of the number on major sportsbooks. My losses, though, were very ugly. A&M got killed by Miami, Tulsa wasn’t able to keep it close against Oklahoma in the second half, New Mexico State got clobbered, Texas Tech lost a close one despite getting almost 700 yards of offense, Wyoming lost, and Nebraska squeaked one out against an inferior Ball St. Team. But I feel very good about my Big 10 instincts at the moment, as Michigan came through over Penn. State and MSU beat up on Notre Dame for the Irish’s 6th consecutive loss since last year.
New for this week: Not all picks are created equal, and if I were really betting on these games instead of just picking numbers, I would bet more on the games where I thought I had an edge. So, let’s assume for the purposes of this blog that I have a bankroll that is budgeted only for sportsbetting, and that I have divided that bankroll up into 50 equal pieces, so that a bad week doesn’t wipe out my entire account. I will value my picks by expressing how many bankroll units I would bet on them (usually between 1 and 4). So Oklahoma -23 4u means I’ll be betting 4 units of my bankroll on Oklahoma winning by more than 23 points.
NOTE: Lines that are struck out (like this) are no longer recommended. See the Week 5 updates post for more information.
| West Virginia -7, 2u | West Virginia/South Florida. I really like South Florida, and I’ve had some fun bets with them this season. But West Virginia is a better team and is a huge running/passing threat. The spread on this one is close because South Florida plays at home, and there is certainly an outside chance that USF pulls the upset here. I’m tempted to bet the spread then take South Florida on the money line if I can find 3:1 odds anywhere. |
| Wisconsin -7, 1u | Michigan State at Wisconsin. I feel conflicted about this game, much like the West Virginia game. Michigan State is surging and Wisconsin is barely winning every game they play, even against rotten teams. But if you look at the history between the two teams, the favorite has covered the spread that last 6 out of 8 times. Also, while MSU is surging, they are 3 and 13 ATS most recently and Wisconsin is 12-4-1 ATS. The math says Wisconsin, but placing a bet straight up on MSU against the odds in case of an upset might be the smart money. |
| Notre Dame/Purdue. There’s no question that Purdue will win this game. The question is by how much, and whether Notre Dame shows up with an offense. The spread right now is at 21. I will not bet this one unless and until the idiots drive down the line by betting on the Irish. | |
| Duke +24, 2u | Duke/Miami. For all its failures, Duke is remarkably adept at covering the spread. That’s probably because they lose so often, the spread is abysmal, such as this 24 point one. I’m betting it gets even juicier as the squares jack up Miami later this week. |
| Miss.St/South Carolina. I like Mississippi State. They started off strong this year with a good first half against LSU before melting down, and they had an impressive win against Auburn. SC will win this one but they won’t cover the spread, especially if it moves later this week when people bet more on the favorite. | |
| Michigan -16 1/2, 1u | Michigan/Northwestern. I don’t know how many points Michigan racks up here. Their D might hold Northwestern to 0. Bet 2 units on the under if it’s reasonable, as both teams have a history of covering the under. |
| Syracuse -2, 2u | Syracuse/Miami (Ohio). Fresh off a huge victory against Louisville, Syracuse has a lot to gain by making a statement here. The spread is probably wrong, it should be at -7 I think, but in any case, the Orange should cover. |
| California +4 1/2 | Cal/Oregon. I would never, ever bet against my ducks, but I can’t advise others in good conscience to favor Oregon here. I’ll probably bet Oregon with the over, as both teams will put up tons of points in the 40 percent of the time that Oregon wins this one. |
| Alabama + 2 1/2, 3u | Alabama/FSU. I just don’t see the Tide throwing the game here against the ‘Noles. Yes, they lost to Arkansas but Florida State is not a great team this year. Bear in mind I have a deep and bitter hatred for overrated ACC teams (which is pretty much every team save for Clemson and BC), but I think Alabama is safe here. I think the spread breaks better later this week when Florida State fans bet heavily, but there are plenty of Alabama fans out there too, so perhaps it’s best to snatch up this spread right away. |
| Auburn +18, 1u | Auburn/Florida. Auburn was obviously overrated at the start of the season, but perhaps they aren’t as bad as many view them now. They had a nice win against New Mexico State last week, and after Florida’s scare to Miss. St., it’s possible this game will be close. Put a unit on the under if you get a chance. |
| Illinois +3, 2u | Penn St/Ill. Illinois is a decent team this year, and Penn State has been overrated for weeks. Wait for this line to get bigger late week before betting it, though. |
| Oklahoma -21 1/2, 4u | Oklahoma has racked up +50 points in its first four games. Stoops likes to run up the score for the polls, a factor I didn’t consider when I picked Tulsa on the spread last week. This is my best bet of the week. |
| Tulsa -18 1/2, 2u | UAB/Tulsa. I’m betting the Golden Hurricanes bounce back after last week’s loss. They’ve got a powerful offense and should dominate all their conference games this year. |
| Clemson -3, 2u | Clemson/GT. People gave Georgia Tech credit earlier this season for their shellacking of Notre Dame. It turns out that most high schools could beat the Irish, and GT has proved through a few key losses that they suck. Clemson is 4-0, which may not mean much in its conference but is still a nice start. |
| BYU -5 1/2, 1u | BYU/New Mexico. I’ve been on the wrong sign of the Mormons for two weeks straight, after picking them to beat Tulsa (they didn’t) then picking Air Force to beat them (they schooled the academy.) I think this is an easy win here, but I’m not confident putting more than 1 unit down until BYU stops screwing me. |
| Arizona St/Stanford. Stanford is not very good, and I have no idea whether the Sun Devils have talent or just an easy pre-conference schedule. However, they showed a lot of heart in the second quarter vs. Oregon. If Stanford brings intensity to this game and the crowd gets in it, I pick this for the upset of the week. If betting the spread, wait until Friday or Saturday morning for a juicier line. | |
| Cincinatti -14, 3u | Cincinatti/San Diego State. I’ve liked Cincinatti ever since they killed Oregon State. This team is 4-0 and headed for greatness in a few years. For now, expect them to cover the spread each week until they combust later against West Virginia, South Florida or Louisville. |
| Troy -12 1/2, 3u | UL Monroe/Troy. I really like Troy. They are a team on the way up, despite a relatively new presence in division 1-A. They’ve been consistently covering the spread. Expect this week to be no different. |