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Gridiron Politics

Football, politics and gambling

Week 8 picks + last week …

So after an abysmal week 6 (I went 5 for 15 and lost 11 units out of 29 bet) I failed to write a week 7 post here. I thought some of you might be curious what my picks were, though, if you’ll trust this ex-post-facto report:

  • Parlayed Michigan/Missouri, 2 units: Won 5.3u.
  • Parlayed South Car/BC, 2 units: Lost 2.2u.
  • Cincinatti -10, 2u, Lost 2u.
  • Oregon -18 1/2, 2u, Won 1.81u.
  • Texas Tech -10, 2u, won 1.81u.
  • Illinois - 4 1/2, Lost 2u.

Result: Up 2.92 units.

USF
-2 1/2, 2u.
USF @ Rutgers. I really, really want Rutgers to beat USF so the Ducks have a better chance of going to the national championship. But if you’re wagering money instead of brokering in wishful thinking, I think this is a pretty good bet.
South Carolina
-13, 2u.
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina. Spurrier has beaten the spread ALMOST every week this season. I’ll forgive him against surging North Carolina, but I’ll bet his team continues to outperform expectations. Also, Vandy has been a disappointment this year.
Wake Forest
-3, 1u.
Wake Forest @ Navy. Wake just a field goal ahead of Navy? Are you kidding me? I like Wake, and I think they play better than they look on paper. I’m a little incredulous about this spread, though, so if you wanted to avoid it it might not be a bad idea.
Auburn
+11, 2u.
Auburn @ LSU. Auburn is a tremendous road team, and LSU is a worn out team after tough, tough games vs. Florida and Kentucky. I wouldn’t be surprised if Auburn pulls an upset here, but save your money and just bet the spread.
Cincinnati
- 9 1/2, 2u.
Cinci @ Pittsburg. Pitt is a bad team. Cinci is not. Cinci covers the spread (except for last week.) Pittsburg loses, by a lot. I’d bet this game for anything under three touchdowns.
Oregon
-11, 2u.
Oregon @ Washington. I’m a little worried about this game, as Oregon had two awful injuries last week vs. Wazzu. We’re going pretty deep into the depth chart now, but hopefully some receivers/backs step up to the task. Washington is a decent team this year but our defense is improving. Also, Washington seems to melt in the second half, whereas Oregon often comes alive then.
Troy
-18, 2u.
North Texas @ Troy. Troy has been doing a great job on the spread, although it was a push last week. North Texas sucks. If I bet only Troy ATS this entire year, I think I’d make a lot of money.

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